Financial Case Study
Financial Case Study
Order Description
Treat the case as a business case with a finance emphasis. Write from the perspective of a consultant to the firmâs management, advising how to optimize the ownersâ wealth. The marketing, operations and other management aspects are important. About half the grade is on the qualitative analysis. Always approach the case from the perspective of a financial management perspective, despite some cases seeming to emphasize a financial institution's perspective.
? Write cases in standard English prose (paragraphs and sentences).
? Exclude repetition of material from the casebook.
? The only limit only the number of tables/graphs is discretion. Give a descriptive label for each table/graph. Put your assumptions in a table rather than in your write up. Write at least one paragraph in your write up on each scenario/table. Describe what the scenario models, how likely it is and which numbers are the most important. Interpret the important numbers. Exclude technical reviews saying how you divided A by B to get C or how you hacked up the "v."
? In the last paragraph, unequivocally state and defend your recommendations. Conceptually, a recommendation cannot be a scenario.
? Spreadsheet analysis is essential.
Case Tips
â¢Do cash flow forecasts for 2005-2009 checking to see if the deal can be 80% debt funded
â¢Do a valuation
â¢WACC: 9%
â¢Consider sensitivity to the long-term growth rate (3%, 4%, â¦)
â¢Exchange rate: 0.8388
â¢Extra: estimate the benefits to Bain including Bainâs rate of return.
VALUATION COMPARABLES
EPS         Price/Earnings                     EBITDA         EV/EBITDA
Market
Price at      Shares O/S      Cap. (in $                        Net      Enterprise
Ticker      Currency      11/18/2004      (in mms)      mms)      FY 2004A   FY 2005E      FY 2004A   FY 2005E      Debt      Value      FY 2004A   FY 2005E      FY 2004A   FY 2005E
US Value Retailers
99 Cents Only Stores1      NDN      USD      $16.08      71.80      $1,154.5       $0.78   $0.42      20.6x   38.3x      ($8.29)      $1,146.3       $110.3   $75.6      10.4x   15.2x
Family Dollar Stores2      FDO      USD      31.80       172.40      5,482.3      1.43   1.53      22.2x   20.8x      (149.6)      5,332.7      478.0   512.1      11.2   10.4
Dollar General Corp      DG      USD      21.18      334.10      7,076.2      0.92   1.01      23.0x   21.0x      290.1      7,366.3      662.5   721.5      11.1   10.2
Dollar Tree      DLTR      USD      29.88      114.70      3,427.2      1.54   1.64      19.4x   18.2x      184.5      3,611.7      400.7   422.8      9.0   8.5
US Discount Retailers
Wal-Mart Stores      WMT      USD      55.8      4,249.00      237,094.2      2.03   2.40      27.5x   23.3x      25,750      262,844.2      12,713.0   14,672.0      20.7   17.9
Canadian Retailers
Shoppers Drug Mart Corp.      SC      CAD      36.15      209.9      7,587.9      1.24   1.46      29.2x   24.8x      741.8      8,329.7      568.5   636.3      14.7   13.1
Sears Canada Inc.3      SCC      CAD      17.90      107.1      1,917.1      1.32   1.35      13.6x   13.3x      1,954.9      3,872.0      451.4   413.6      8.6   9.4
Forzani Group      FGL      CAD      11.07      32.7      361.9      0.86   0.81      12.9x   13.7x      114.5      476.5      82.3   76.5      5.8   6.2
Loblaw Companies Limited      L      CAD      67.01      274.3      18,380.8      3.05   3.50      22.0x   19.1x      4,498.0      22,878.8      1,860.0   2,125.0      12.3   10.8
Canadian Tire      CTC      CAD      70.00      81.2      5,684.0      2.89   3.25      24.2x   21.5x      1,066.3      6,770.3      613.0   695.0      11.0   9.7
1NDN FY2005SE adjusted for $8.3 million in one-time lawsuit/legal fees.
2Family Dollar's 2005E EBITDA are actuals from their August 2004 year end.
3Net Debt includes the securitiezed off-balance sheet obligations.
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